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Red46
164020.1
475010.6
218015.4
Blue56
48614.2
43318.8
542022.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4556203040506070804656

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#27
20.10.4
18.819.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End2.5
blue by 2.5
22.60.4
21.321.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End6.0
Second
2180
#11
15.40.4
11.511.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End2.4
blue by 3.4
433
#4
18.80.4
18.619.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End7.0
Third
4750
#31
10.60.4
12.212.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End2.4
blue by 3.6
486
#28
14.20.4
12.713.1
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed50%HAB Docking oddsEarned