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Red65
139121.4
27217.3
511319.4
Blue62
475010.6
540722.2
542022.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525630406070806562

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.41.1
18.919.9
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End7.0
blue by 1.2
22.60.8
21.522.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End6.0
Second
19.41.4
17.819.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End4.1
blue by 2.8
22.20.8
21.121.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End9.6
Third
272
#12
17.31.5
12.614.1
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End3.5
red by 6.7
4750
#31
10.60.8
10.711.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned78%HAB Docking oddsEarned