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Red45
218015.4
8711.9
137016.2
Blue43
43318.8
164020.1
219111.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425320306070804543

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1370
#18
16.20.2
14.915.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 4.0
1640
#27
20.10.6
19.919.3
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Second
2180
#11
15.40.2
13.213.4
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End2.4
blue by 3.4
433
#4
18.80.6
17.917.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End7.0
Third
87
#24
11.90.2
11.912.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 0.4
2191
#29
11.50.6
11.911.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsMissed