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Red35
181113.9
34112.5
434221.6
Blue24
17917.3
48614.2
4237.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463201020405060703524

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.8
18.417.6
Auto3.6
Teleop10.0
End8.0
red by 7.4
486
#28
14.20.6
14.914.4
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End5.3
Second
1811
#15
13.90.7
13.612.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 6.6
1791
#30
7.30.6
8.17.5
Auto1.0
Teleop2.6
End3.7
Third
341
#25
12.50.8
11.310.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
red by 5.3
423
#32
7.20.6
7.46.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed