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Red51
540423.7
445413.7
45759.8
Blue49
149516.7
83422.6
116813.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495530406070805149

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.4
22.623.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.8
End8.1
red by 1.2
834
#7
22.60.6
19.819.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.6
End4.6
Second
4454
#13
13.70.3
14.414.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End4.8
blue by 3.0
1495
#10
16.70.6
17.717.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Third
4575
#23
9.80.4
9.610.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End1.4
blue by 3.7
1168
#19
13.60.6
14.814.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsMissed