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Red52
17917.3
20411.6
540423.7
Blue78
171218.1
48614.2
218015.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424720305060705278

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.9
22.823.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.8
End8.1
red by 5.6
1712
#16
18.10.7
16.917.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.6
End2.0
Second
204
#22
11.60.9
10.711.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End2.3
blue by 3.8
2180
#11
15.40.7
13.814.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Third
1791
#30
7.30.9
6.47.3
Auto1.0
Teleop2.6
End3.7
blue by 6.9
486
#28
14.20.7
13.614.3
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed