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Red99
291040.3
204633.1
322320.9
Blue66
451221.2
413123.3
94821.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102694060801209966

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.5
41.240.8
Auto5.1
Teleop27.8
End7.4
red by 17.0
4131
#23
23.30.1
22.822.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.9
End3.8
Second
33.10.5
34.433.9
Auto5.9
Teleop18.8
End8.4
red by 11.6
948
#51
21.50.1
21.922.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End4.1
Third
3223
#31
20.90.5
21.420.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End5.9
blue by 0.3
4512
#61
21.20.1
20.220.3
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
45%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
99%HAB Docking oddsEarned35%HAB Docking oddsMissed