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Red78
491129.8
298013.6
214729.3
Blue90
131826.3
367430.7
644322.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7983506070901001107890

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.2
30.530.4
Auto3.8
Teleop20.8
End5.3
blue by 0.9
30.70.6
30.130.7
Auto5.9
Teleop16.8
End8.0
Second
29.30.2
30.530.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End4.9
red by 3.0
1318
#10
26.30.6
26.126.7
Auto3.1
Teleop15.9
End7.3
Third
2980
#64
13.60.2
13.513.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End2.9
blue by 8.7
6443
#39
22.30.6
22.022.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned