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Red65
498021.6
154029.5
684525.3
Blue90
290720.9
299029.9
289821.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8378506070901001106590

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#35
29.50.9
31.230.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End6.3
blue by 0.4
29.90.1
30.630.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End6.7
Second
6845
#49
25.30.9
25.524.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.1
red by 3.9
21.40.1
21.421.5
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Third
4980
#25
21.60.9
22.321.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End5.8
red by 0.7
2907
#37
20.90.1
21.621.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
87%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsEarned