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Red80
273323.4
457921.3
777617.4
Blue87
291521.0
358822.5
49227.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607130405080908087

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#26
23.41.5
22.223.7
Auto3.4
Teleop14.1
End5.9
blue by 3.7
492
#40
27.21.3
25.927.2
Auto3.8
Teleop15.8
End7.5
Second
4579
#12
21.31.5
19.120.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.2
End3.0
blue by 1.2
3588
#47
22.51.3
21.022.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.9
End4.0
Third
7776
#46
17.41.5
15.917.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End3.8
blue by 3.6
2915
#16
21.01.3
20.021.4
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned57%HAB Docking oddsEarned