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Red72
252224.5
255723.4
498021.6
Blue93
491129.8
367430.7
457921.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738640506080901001101207293

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#52
24.50.2
24.324.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End4.4
blue by 6.2
30.70.8
30.731.4
Auto5.9
Teleop16.8
End8.0
Second
2557
#44
23.40.2
23.223.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End4.5
blue by 6.4
29.80.8
30.431.1
Auto3.8
Teleop20.8
End5.3
Third
4980
#25
21.60.2
21.421.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End5.8
red by 0.2
4579
#12
21.30.8
20.621.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned78%HAB Docking oddsEarned