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Red65
302414.5
469220.1
546817.4
Blue74
411018.3
209721.6
684525.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5266203040607080906574

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4692
#63
20.11.1
19.020.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.4
blue by 5.2
6845
#49
25.30.7
24.625.3
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.1
Second
5468
#60
17.41.1
16.617.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.7
blue by 4.2
2097
#21
21.60.7
20.921.6
Auto3.2
Teleop15.0
End3.3
Third
3024
#58
14.51.1
13.414.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End5.0
blue by 3.7
4110
#62
18.30.7
17.518.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed