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Red68
290720.9
94821.5
469220.1
Blue77
558819.8
292825.9
255723.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736240801001206877

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#51
21.50.0
22.122.1
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End4.1
blue by 4.4
2928
#18
25.91.2
24.625.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End5.4
Second
2907
#37
20.90.0
22.722.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End5.5
blue by 2.5
2557
#44
23.41.2
19.220.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Third
4692
#63
20.10.0
23.923.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.4
red by 0.3
5588
#33
19.81.2
14.816.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsEarned