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Red51
451320.8
593718.4
273323.4
Blue93
457921.3
291040.3
546817.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598020401005193

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#26
23.40.3
21.120.7
Auto3.4
Teleop14.1
End5.9
blue by 16.8
40.30.5
41.341.9
Auto5.1
Teleop27.8
End7.4
Second
4513
#42
20.80.3
18.618.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.8
blue by 0.6
4579
#12
21.30.5
16.417.0
Auto5.1
Teleop13.2
End3.0
Third
5937
#48
18.40.3
16.416.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End5.5
red by 1.0
5468
#60
17.40.5
18.218.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed78%HAB Docking oddsEarned