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Red64
382624.8
293028.9
289821.4
Blue63
298013.6
430921.6
644322.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73642040801006463

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#15
28.90.5
27.426.8
Auto4.0
Teleop17.6
End7.4
red by 6.6
6443
#39
22.30.3
27.827.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End9.3
Second
3826
#29
24.80.5
23.122.6
Auto5.7
Teleop16.1
End3.0
red by 3.2
4309
#32
21.60.3
19.219.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End5.3
Third
21.40.5
18.518.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 7.8
2980
#64
13.60.3
13.713.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
65%HAB Docking oddsEarned91%HAB Docking oddsEarned