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Red49
252123.7
189916.0
644520.4
Blue63
322320.9
684525.3
582728.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627620401001204963

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#20
23.70.9
23.822.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End5.0
blue by 4.3
5827
#13
28.00.6
26.125.5
Auto3.9
Teleop15.2
End8.9
Second
6445
#57
20.40.9
21.220.4
Auto3.7
Teleop13.3
End3.5
blue by 4.9
6845
#49
25.30.6
24.523.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.1
Third
1899
#59
16.00.9
14.213.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End2.5
blue by 4.9
3223
#31
20.90.6
21.621.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned89%HAB Docking oddsEarned