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Red79
198332.1
252224.5
297622.9
Blue96
404330.0
406120.4
580330.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908340601001207996

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#17
32.10.6
34.433.7
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End7.6
red by 1.9
5803
#36
30.21.2
29.328.1
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End8.7
Second
2522
#52
24.50.6
25.825.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End4.4
blue by 5.6
4043
#11
30.01.2
30.028.8
Auto5.1
Teleop20.8
End4.1
Third
2976
#19
22.90.6
25.324.6
Auto3.4
Teleop16.3
End3.2
red by 2.5
4061
#50
20.41.2
18.917.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsEarned80%HAB Docking oddsMissed