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Red103
291040.3
252123.7
558819.8
Blue73
291521.0
99727.1
446922.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82704050609010011010373

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.7
38.640.3
Auto5.1
Teleop27.8
End7.4
red by 13.2
997
#22
27.10.5
24.625.1
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End5.7
Second
2521
#20
23.71.7
22.123.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End5.0
red by 0.8
22.90.5
22.523.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End6.4
Third
5588
#33
19.81.7
17.118.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End4.5
blue by 1.2
2915
#16
21.00.5
18.719.1
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned68%HAB Docking oddsEarned