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Red82
214729.3
209721.6
363622.0
Blue65
413123.3
382624.8
252224.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707630405060901001108265

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.31.1
29.630.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End4.9
red by 4.5
3826
#29
24.80.7
24.323.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.1
End3.0
Second
3636
#41
22.01.1
20.421.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End3.0
blue by 2.5
2522
#52
24.50.7
24.523.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End4.4
Third
2097
#21
21.61.1
16.217.2
Auto3.2
Teleop15.0
End3.3
blue by 1.7
4131
#23
23.30.7
23.522.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed