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Red70
546817.4
154029.5
382624.8
Blue72
367430.7
558819.8
142522.8
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79776070901007072

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#35
29.50.5
31.931.4
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End6.3
blue by 1.2
30.70.2
31.130.9
Auto5.9
Teleop16.8
End8.0
Second
3826
#29
24.80.5
24.624.1
Auto5.7
Teleop16.1
End3.0
red by 2.1
1425
#38
22.80.2
21.921.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End6.1
Third
5468
#60
17.40.5
17.917.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.7
blue by 2.4
5588
#33
19.80.2
19.419.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned89%HAB Docking oddsEarned