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Red71
241221.9
290720.9
247124.1
Blue74
644520.4
293028.9
457921.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70695560657580857174

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#34
24.10.1
22.923.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.7
End5.6
blue by 4.8
2930
#15
28.90.6
28.529.1
Auto4.0
Teleop17.6
End7.4
Second
2412
#54
21.90.1
21.021.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End6.2
red by 0.5
4579
#12
21.30.6
17.217.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.2
End3.0
Third
2907
#37
20.90.1
21.922.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End5.5
red by 0.5
6445
#57
20.40.6
19.520.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned