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Red27
685114.1
586514.2
398515.3
Blue65
757416.6
760519.8
398622.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44413035505560652765

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3985
#30
15.31.6
13.812.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End2.6
blue by 7.0
22.32.3
13.215.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End5.4
Second
5865
#16
14.21.6
14.012.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End3.5
blue by 5.6
19.82.6
13.616.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End5.2
Third
6851
#31
14.11.6
13.912.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.3
End2.3
blue by 2.5
7574
#10
16.62.6
11.514.1
Auto3.4
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed