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Red19
75556.7
494719.0
71348.2
Blue41
338614.4
74719.1
151121.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34310102040506070801941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4947
#11
19.01.5
15.413.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.7
End4.8
blue by 2.1
21.10.9
13.614.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End4.2
Second
7134
#40
8.21.5
10.48.8
Auto0.3
Teleop4.0
End3.9
blue by 6.2
3386
#21
14.40.9
8.79.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End4.7
Third
7555
#37
6.71.5
6.85.3
Auto0.7
Teleop3.0
End2.9
blue by 2.4
7471
#33
9.10.9
7.38.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed