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Red47
151121.1
353312.0
75556.7
Blue43
493021.5
555310.9
761514.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34481020304060704743

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.11.5
16.317.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End4.2
blue by 0.4
21.50.3
21.221.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End8.2
Second
3533
#29
12.01.5
11.513.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.5
End1.1
blue by 2.8
7615
#25
14.80.3
12.812.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End2.7
Third
7555
#37
6.71.5
4.25.8
Auto0.7
Teleop3.0
End2.9
blue by 4.3
5553
#17
10.90.3
11.611.3
Auto2.1
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsMissed