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Red32
71625.2
355012.1
687212.9
Blue23
71348.2
65406.6
586514.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32312535403223

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6872
#19
12.90.2
12.912.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End3.7
blue by 1.4
5865
#16
14.20.9
14.113.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Second
3550
#20
12.10.2
12.312.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End2.7
red by 3.9
7134
#40
8.20.9
8.98.0
Auto0.3
Teleop4.0
End3.9
Third
7162
#39
5.20.2
5.35.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End0.2
blue by 1.4
6540
#41
6.60.9
6.15.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed