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Red32
692918.0
151121.1
760519.8
Blue22
398810.5
336019.6
75556.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40392530353222

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.7
15.114.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End4.2
red by 1.5
19.61.7
15.513.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End4.6
Second
19.812.3
21.79.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End5.2
red by 9.3
3988
#23
10.51.7
11.810.0
Auto2.3
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Third
6929
#14
18.00.7
13.112.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End5.9
red by 11.3
7555
#37
6.71.7
6.78.4
Auto0.7
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed