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Red3
69536.5
459412.9
65406.6
Blue38
398622.3
354418.2
495713.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303310204050338

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4594
#32
12.93.2
9.86.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 9.4
22.30.0
8.08.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End5.4
Second
6540
#41
6.63.2
11.28.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End1.4
blue by 11.6
18.20.0
11.111.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.5
End2.0
Third
6953
#42
6.53.2
10.47.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End1.4
blue by 6.5
4957
#12
13.00.0
8.78.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed