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Red54
66229.3
561827.7
399622.0
Blue60
591023.1
29618.7
595216.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5552304060705460

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.2
22.022.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End8.6
red by 4.5
5910
#21
23.11.2
20.321.5
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.7
Second
22.00.1
20.120.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End6.9
red by 3.3
296
#18
18.71.1
15.416.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.4
End4.1
Third
6622
#34
9.30.2
9.910.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.6
blue by 7.1
5952
#28
16.41.1
13.514.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsEarned45%HAB Docking oddsMissed