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Red53
311713.4
495221.4
262613.3
Blue27
35338.2
336021.2
35105.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473802060805327

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.5
20.621.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End7.0
red by 0.2
3360
#12
21.20.6
22.121.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Second
13.40.3
13.413.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End4.7
red by 5.2
3533
#35
8.20.6
10.19.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6
Third
2626
#19
13.30.3
11.011.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End2.7
red by 8.0
3510
#31
5.40.6
3.73.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed