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Red67
355017.5
517917.9
55709.3
Blue66
591023.1
66229.3
725127.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4161020806766

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5179
#14
17.92.0
13.615.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End5.3
blue by 9.4
27.30.6
26.126.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End7.0
Second
3550
#17
17.51.3
16.317.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End3.8
blue by 5.6
5910
#21
23.10.9
21.522.3
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.7
Third
5570
#32
9.31.9
8.410.3
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End3.1
Level
6622
#34
9.30.8
10.110.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed71%HAB Docking oddsMissed