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Red44
223415.9
543918.3
35105.4
Blue55
29618.7
643115.8
398515.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374802060804455

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5439
#23
18.30.1
17.117.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.1
End5.0
blue by 0.4
296
#18
18.70.9
16.517.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.4
End4.1
Second
2234
#26
15.90.1
14.914.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End4.8
red by 0.1
3985
#16
15.80.6
15.516.1
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Third
3510
#31
5.40.1
3.13.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End1.7
blue by 10.4
6431
#24
15.80.6
13.814.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed