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Red73
262613.3
561827.7
725127.3
Blue35
494213.3
336021.2
66229.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64482040801007335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.0
22.223.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End8.6
red by 6.5
3360
#12
21.20.7
20.720.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Second
27.30.7
26.627.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End7.0
red by 14.0
4942
#30
13.31.1
13.612.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
2626
#19
13.30.7
11.312.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End2.7
red by 4.0
6622
#34
9.30.9
10.910.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
81%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsMissed