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Red56
565920.3
595216.4
398515.8
Blue72
311713.4
35105.4
643115.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523201020406070805672

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5659
#11
20.30.2
18.719.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End5.1
red by 4.6
6431
#24
15.81.5
14.415.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Second
5952
#28
16.40.3
14.815.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End4.3
red by 3.0
13.41.5
12.714.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End4.7
Third
3985
#16
15.80.2
16.116.4
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.4
red by 10.4
3510
#31
5.41.5
3.04.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsEarned