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Red56
409715.2
314622.6
662012.2
Blue54
206720.4
271212.5
27139.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514410203040607080905654

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.6
21.121.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End5.8
red by 2.2
20.40.6
18.919.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End7.4
Second
4097
#17
15.20.5
14.615.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End3.6
red by 2.7
2712
#16
12.50.8
12.813.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.7
Third
6620
#24
12.20.6
12.913.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End2.6
red by 2.8
2713
#22
9.40.6
9.710.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsEarned