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Red38
54949.6
271212.5
584622.3
Blue48
415113.6
12120.5
409715.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495220304060703848

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5846
#11
22.30.5
22.221.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End4.6
red by 1.8
121
#12
20.50.1
21.121.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End3.4
Second
2712
#16
12.50.6
13.513.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.7
blue by 2.7
4097
#17
15.20.1
14.714.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End3.6
Third
5494
#27
9.60.6
10.29.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End1.3
blue by 4.0
4151
#13
13.60.1
13.313.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed58%HAB Docking oddsMissed