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Red44
17326.4
27139.4
371917.6
Blue30
490810.3
6120.2
662012.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6049304070804430

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#3
26.40.9
28.227.3
Auto5.0
Teleop16.4
End4.9
red by 6.2
61
#14
20.21.2
21.620.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End6.5
Second
3719
#15
17.61.0
18.317.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End4.5
red by 5.4
6620
#24
12.21.2
13.512.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Third
2713
#22
9.40.9
10.39.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.8
blue by 0.8
4908
#29
10.31.2
11.510.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed60%HAB Docking oddsMissed