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Red58
12120.5
206720.4
323622.6
Blue57
404815.7
479610.9
662012.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623202040805857

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.2
21.020.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End4.0
red by 7.0
4048
#20
15.70.1
9.19.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End5.3
Second
121
#12
20.50.2
20.420.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End3.4
red by 8.3
6620
#24
12.20.2
11.010.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Third
20.40.2
17.317.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End7.4
red by 9.5
4796
#19
10.90.2
10.510.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed