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Red71
749222.4
496521.5
433622.5
Blue64
129621.0
264225.1
427622.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68734060801007164

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#10
22.50.4
21.922.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End5.1
blue by 2.6
2642
#15
25.10.3
25.224.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.7
End6.6
Second
7492
#21
22.40.4
22.022.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End8.1
red by 0.2
4276
#54
22.20.3
22.322.0
Auto5.8
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Third
4965
#34
21.50.4
21.021.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End4.4
red by 0.5
1296
#17
21.00.3
21.421.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned76%HAB Docking oddsMissed