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Red80
461028.1
97219.9
669523.1
Blue97
56812.8
749829.6
177131.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7373657075808590958097

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#43
28.10.5
27.628.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End3.6
blue by 3.5
31.61.2
30.531.7
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End8.8
Second
6695
#50
23.10.5
22.623.1
Auto3.4
Teleop15.6
End4.1
blue by 6.5
7498
#11
29.61.2
28.229.4
Auto4.4
Teleop21.6
End3.6
Third
972
#47
19.90.5
19.419.9
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End1.2
red by 7.0
568
#53
12.81.2
10.611.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed63%HAB Docking oddsEarned