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Red59
427622.2
385922.3
234123.1
Blue63
97219.9
129621.0
290720.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7364304050607080901005963

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#38
23.10.7
24.924.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.7
End4.2
red by 2.0
1296
#17
21.00.2
20.620.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End4.7
Second
3859
#40
22.30.7
21.921.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.8
End4.8
red by 1.9
2907
#58
20.40.2
20.821.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End4.0
Third
4276
#54
22.20.7
22.822.1
Auto5.8
Teleop12.7
End3.8
red by 2.4
972
#47
19.90.2
19.319.4
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed