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Red54
141025.6
680323.7
336612.4
Blue55
388113.6
496521.5
790611.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694930406080901005455

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#64
25.60.7
27.426.7
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End0.8
red by 4.0
4965
#34
21.50.2
21.421.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End4.4
Second
6803
#16
23.70.7
24.123.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End8.1
red by 10.1
13.60.2
13.613.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Third
3366
#66
12.40.7
13.512.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End1.5
red by 0.5
7906
#61
11.80.2
11.711.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed14%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed4%HAB Docking oddsEarned