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Red65
740310.0
131827.2
191218.9
Blue61
248521.6
56812.8
400526.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595730405070806561

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#24
27.20.6
25.826.4
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End7.3
red by 0.8
4005
#18
26.40.4
24.024.5
Auto4.1
Teleop19.4
End2.9
Second
1912
#29
18.90.6
19.219.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End5.6
blue by 2.7
2485
#37
21.60.4
19.519.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End2.0
Third
7403
#52
10.00.6
10.911.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End3.2
blue by 2.8
568
#53
12.80.4
10.811.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed