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Red44
99978.0
709414.6
192710.9
Blue71
303926.1
299222.6
99893.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3555020801004471

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7094
Unranked
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 11.5
3039
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.7
Second
1927
Unranked
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 11.7
2992
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End7.4
Third
9997
Unranked
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End2.0
red by 4.2
9989
Unranked
3.80.0
3.83.8
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking odds56%HAB Docking odds