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Red42
999330.7
384726.3
222111.5
Blue35
433622.5
586312.0
497811.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72490204060801001204235

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9993
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End4.9
red by 8.2
4336
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End5.1
Second
3847
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End4.8
red by 14.3
5863
Unranked
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Third
2221
Unranked
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 0.4
4978
Unranked
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
71%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking odds37%HAB Docking odds