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Red33
208016.9
596514.6
599716.3
Blue38
99978.0
999330.7
99893.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51450204060801003338

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2080
Unranked
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End4.4
blue by 13.8
9993
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End4.9
Second
5997
Unranked
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End1.9
red by 8.4
9997
Unranked
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Third
5965
Unranked
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End4.4
red by 10.9
9989
Unranked
3.80.0
3.83.8
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds19%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking odds26%HAB Docking odds