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Red48
222111.5
410714.1
191218.9
Blue31
192710.9
497811.9
375311.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473702060804831

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End5.6
red by 7.0
3753
Unranked
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End4.7
Second
4107
Unranked
14.10.0
14.114.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.1
red by 2.2
4978
Unranked
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.9
Third
2221
Unranked
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End2.3
red by 0.6
1927
Unranked
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds1%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking odds32%HAB Docking odds