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Red40
586312.0
99893.8
410714.1
Blue65
191218.9
433622.5
218316.8
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326102040801004065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4107
Unranked
14.10.0
14.114.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.1
blue by 8.3
4336
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End5.1
Second
5863
Unranked
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End2.2
blue by 6.9
1912
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End5.6
Third
9989
Unranked
3.80.0
3.83.8
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9
blue by 13.0
2183
Unranked
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking odds62%HAB Docking odds