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Red22
599716.3
375311.9
999330.7
Blue78
303926.1
99869.2
709414.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62532040801002278

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9993
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End4.9
red by 4.5
3039
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.7
Second
5997
Unranked
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End1.9
red by 1.7
7094
Unranked
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Third
3753
Unranked
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End4.7
red by 2.7
9986
Unranked
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
26%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking odds17%HAB Docking odds