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Red54
445126.5
297426.8
99983.1
Blue81
349022.7
99979.0
265520.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575302040801001205481

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.0
25.925.9
Auto2.9
Teleop21.0
End2.9
red by 4.0
22.70.5
22.122.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End8.5
Second
26.50.0
25.625.6
Auto2.6
Teleop16.8
End7.1
red by 5.9
2655
#11
20.60.5
19.920.4
Auto3.1
Teleop13.0
End4.5
Third
9998
#14
3.10.0
2.22.2
Auto3.9
Teleop-0.3
End-0.5
blue by 5.9
9.00.5
8.48.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.0
End2.1