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Red1
349022.7
99979.0
265520.6
Blue0
998810.5
99878.0
99968.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533002040608010010

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.1
22.020.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End8.5
red by 12.2
9988
Unranked
10.50.6
11.110.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.3
End2.0
Second
2655
#11
20.61.1
19.918.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.0
End4.5
red by 12.6
9996
Unranked
8.00.6
8.68.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Third
9.01.1
8.37.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.0
End2.1
red by 1.1
9987
Unranked
8.00.6
8.68.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End1.7